Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.393111 0.512205 0.641944 0.791772 0.958218 1.135878 1.338349
2025-05-11 0.245686 0.406390 0.600558 0.842562 1.127967 1.447225 1.825370
2025-05-18 0.158909 0.329057 0.553588 0.849605 1.212828 1.630989 2.137419
2025-05-25 0.082526 0.239410 0.472259 0.799761 1.218732 1.714984 2.328750
2025-06-01 0.034593 0.168038 0.398273 0.745326 1.207675 1.769721 2.477782
2025-06-08 0.012270 0.124920 0.354507 0.723032 1.230728 1.860597 2.665232
2025-06-15 0.003946 0.104000 0.340890 0.739408 1.301335 2.007997 2.918929
2025-06-22 0.000080 0.078855 0.313147 0.730913 1.336041 2.108640 3.114462
2025-06-29 NaN 0.055397 0.280840 0.710927 1.352106 2.183603 3.276932
2025-07-06 NaN 0.050281 0.286156 0.749686 1.448986 2.361550 3.566201
2025-07-13 NaN 0.047602 0.296367 0.796127 1.556570 2.553348 3.872818
2025-07-20 NaN 0.044409 0.304349 0.838526 1.658329 2.737647 4.170274
2025-07-27 NaN 0.046622 0.328775 0.912420 1.810327 2.993945 4.566217
2025-08-03 NaN 0.042785 0.336240 0.958129 1.923346 3.201376 4.903716
2025-08-10 NaN 0.033208 0.323837 0.968086 1.983870 3.339425 5.153653
2025-08-17 NaN 0.016643 0.277598 0.914011 1.948795 3.350354 5.242897
2025-08-24 NaN 0.005652 0.232677 0.855711 1.903499 3.344979 5.309299
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001560 0.207845 0.831679 1.907049 3.402828 5.454072
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000605 0.204092 0.849313 1.974055 3.546134 5.707985
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.188335 0.840171 1.998684 3.631415 5.887159
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.168107 0.818654 2.002548 3.687516 6.028183
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.176019 0.860364 2.106984 3.881938 6.348155
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.187453 0.910246 2.224614 4.094693 6.692060